HARVARD COLLEGE LIBRARY
FROM THE
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
THE MACMILLAN COMPANY NEW YORK . BOSTON . CHICAGO . DALLAS ATLANTA . SAN FRANCISCO
MACMILLAN & CO., LIMITED LONDON . BOMBAY . CALCUTTA MELBOURNE
THE MACMILLAN CO. OF CANADA, LTD. TORONTO
THE VALUE OF MONEY
BY
B. M. ANDERSON, JR., PH. D. ASSISTANT PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, HARVARD UNIVERSITY AUTHOR OF "SOCIAL VALUE"
New York THE MACMILLAN COMPANY 1917
_All rights reserved_
COPYRIGHT, 1917 BY THE MACMILLAN COMPANY Set up and electrotyped. Published May, 1917.
To
B. M. A., III AND J. C. A.
WHO OFTEN INTERRUPTED THE WORK BUT NONE THE LESS INSPIRED IT
PREFACE
The following pages have as their central problem the value of money. But the value of money cannot be studied successfully as an isolated problem, and in order to reach conclusions upon this topic, it has been necessary to consider virtually the whole range of economic theory; the general theory of value; the role of money in economic theory and the functions of money in economic life; the theory of the values of stocks and bonds, of "good will," established trade connections, trade-marks, and other "intangibles"; the theory of credit; the causes governing the volume of trade, and particularly the place of speculation in the volume of trade; the relation of "static" economic theory to "dynamic" economic theory.
"Dynamic economics" is concerned with change and readjustment in economic life. A distinctive doctrine of the present book is that the great bulk of exchanging grows out of dynamic change, and that speculation, in particular, constitutes by far the major part of all trade. From this it follows that the main work of money and credit, as instruments of exchange, is done in the process of dynamic readjustment, and, consequently, that the theory of money and credit _must be a dynamic theory_. It follows, further, that a theory like the "quantity theory of money," which rests in the notions of "static equilibrium" and "normal adjustment," abstracting from the "transitional process of readjustment," touches the real problems of money and credit not at all.
Table of contents (by pages)
- 1: The Value of Money by Benjamin M. Anderson and Jr.
- 2: Statics which has hitherto chiefly busied economists
- 3: Of the Department of Economics at Harvard University
- 4: I find myself unable to concur with Professor Kemmerer
- 5: And economic values generically alike
- 6: Capital value not passive shadow
- 7: INTRODUCTION Preliminary statement of quantity theory
- 8: And must be changed from year to year
- 9: Is equation of exchange realistic
- 10: Index of variation in trade
- 11: Abstraction from money by static theory
- 12: Generalization of conflict to include cost of production
- 13: Saleability degrees of saleability
- 14: Juridical and accounting phases 459 462 Confidence
- 15: Loans on other collateral security
- 16: And the static equilibrium
- 17: The ratio is between their values
- 18: Values lie behind ratios of exchange
- 19: A copper cent has high saleability
- 20: 13 Professor Clark's causal theory of value
- 21: When we come to a causal explanation of the value quantity
- 22: Individuality is a social product
- 23: Which emphasizes individual separateness
- 24: The social moral values par excellence
- 25: In Professor Munroe Smith's phrase
- 26: Reached through modifications in the economic values
- 27: Rather than the rule of the corpus delicti
- 28: Both judge and connoisseur are focal points
- 29: Derive their power from economic values
- 30: Which prevails at the mealtime of virtually all men
- 31: And given their marginal intensities
- 32: This is the main line of causation
- 33: Ratios of exchange are ratios between values
- 34: These variations are due to inborn qualities
- 35: So far as the disutility equilibrium is concerned
- 36: Ricardo makes large use of the quantity theory as a premise
- 37: With the exceptions of Professors Fisher and Taussig
- 38: Adam Smith seems to see this more clearly than does Ricardo
- 39: We have a causal factor in increase in demand
- 40: And diminishing economic significance
- 41: Cairnes emphasizes the physical character of both
- 42: Physical quantities are irrelevant
- 43: Ricardo himself saw the break down of the pure labor theory
- 44: Costs from the entrepreneur view point
- 45: Abstinence and risk quite incommensurable
- 46: Costs consists of entrepreneur money outlay of various kinds
- 47: Not as pure interest on abstract capital
- 48: Increasing discount rate reducing it
- 49: As the disk increases in diameter
- 50: We use the absolute conception of value
- 51: And he makes no use of marginal utility in his explanation
- 52: In Schriften des Vereins fuer Sozialpolitik
- 53: Wieser gives no argument for this contention
- 54: Wieser gives no independent definition
- 55: Wieser deals some heavy blows to the quantity theory
- 56: 75 though he attributes it to Boehm Bawerk
- 57: And equilibrium really reached
- 58: Then causation would be initiated by the cost curves
- 59: And most of the new work which he attributes to Kredit
- 60: But refers with approval to Wieser loc
- 61: It is impossible to treat quantitatively
- 62: Ricardo is talking about statics
- 63: Present disinclination to readjust
- 64: Von Mises considers the quantity theory at length
- 65: Marginal utilities and market prices are alike resultants
- 66: INTRODUCTION The quantity theory
- 67: Even though recognizing that that monetary employment may
- 68: Nor general price level is a simple
- 69: He assumes a hypothetical market
- 70: If the state charges a seigniorage for coinage
- 71: A great many different commodities have served
- 72: Economic value par excellence
- 73: Whether or not their original raison d'etre persist
- 74: Were pretty good quantity theorists
- 75: To assume money as circulating
- 76: When the bull pays a premium to the bear
- 77: Competing with the Greenbacks in various employments
- 78: If the premium be great enough
- 79: In this hypothetical illustration
- 80: Would determine the margin between the two employments
- 81: Professor Fisher has no absolute value in his scheme
- 82: MV Greek S pQ Sigma being the symbol of summation
- 83: As distinguished from mensuration
- 84: A further point must be made Sigma pQ
- 85: Arbitrarily as MV M'V' P in which case
- 86: Exclude the giro system of Germany
- 87: One could make a similar equation
- 88: And the invariability of this ratio
- 89: Bank reserves and money in the hands of depositors
- 90: General averages give no concrete causal relations
- 91: And considerable yearly fluctuation
- 92: In the case of the Austro Hungarian Bank
- 93: That Professor Taussig has a point here is not to be doubted
- 94: Verging more toward Fisher than toward Taussig
- 95: Equilibria during transition periods are unstable
- 96: When mechanical causation is involved
- 97: Or as all manner of media of exchange
- 98: And that even as a qualitative tendency
- 99: Especially if one extends the term barter
- 100: It has made possible a host of refinements in barter
- 101: Provided the person turnover average remains the same
- 102: In so far as individual turnover is concerned
- 103: 00 in idle cash or idle deposits
- 104: B As to regularity of receipts and disbursements
- 105: Density of population enormously increases trade
- 106: In the value of paper currency
- 107: So that an increase of currency cannot
- 108: In his Inter national Bimetallism
- 109: Increased non monetary capital
- 110: Not the capital value of money
- 111: Compares them with the same indicia for 1909
- 112: T was considered to be 387 billions
- 113: If the Census Bureau had taken an inventory in 1909
- 114: The all other deposits of New York City are only 1% cash
- 115: The average for Arkansas banks
- 116: 1 indicates an inverse correlation
- 117: 073 less than one hundredth of 1%
- 118: If the retail deposits correctly represented retail trade
- 119: As against an average for the country of 17%
- 120: From 20 to 25% of the volume of hundred share sales
- 121: The volume of unlisted securities is enormous
- 122: The transactions are speculative
- 123: Then Fisher's indicia of variation in trade
- 124: As compared with technical production
- 125: To market the output of Lancashire
- 126: Which is a normal or static or long run law
- 127: To give verisimilitude to the static theory
- 128: 300 On the static assumptions
- 129: Be reduced to a retail basis
- 130: By means of an index of variation
- 131: As compared with the preceding decade
- 132: As represented by railway gross receipts
- 133: Interdependence suggests circular theory
- 134: Expanding trade can increase credit
- 135: A currency theory of deposits
- 136: The linkage between reserves and deposits is
- 137: When promissory notes are discounted
- 138: Averages may be indicia of causation
- 139: Of the factors in his own equation
- 140: Which produces a staple widely used
- 141: My point is made if he has to make the readjustment
- 142: The money income expected from the income bearer
- 143: 341 Fisher reiterates this doctrine in his reply to Seager
- 144: Resting in such divergent psychological assumptions
- 145: So that middlemen are eliminated
- 146: That change remains unneutralized
- 147: Is presupposed in the determination of all particular prices
- 148: The average price is from $10 to $25 per acre
- 149: Foreign capital will tend to come in as loans i
- 150: That the balance of physical items
- 151: That his qualitative reasoning is correct
- 152: The dodo bone idea is entirely gone
- 153: Not as the value basis lying behind the credit instrument
- 154: Gold is like other commodities
- 155: Prices and Wages under the Greenback Standard
- 156: Velocity of monetary circulation
- 157: The methods laid down by Kemmerer
- 158: Two investigations by Dean David Kinley
- 159: As New York clearings for the year were 104 billions
- 160: Not what Kinley means in this investigation
- 161: 20 to 25% of the total clearings
- 162: In a letter to the Editor of the Annalist
- 163: Clearings are 40% of total transactions
- 164: Adding 28% to the figure for New York checks
- 165: For the volume of bank drafts on New York
- 166: New York clearings in 1890 were 37
- 167: Since New York City was 28% below normal
- 168: Since MV plus M'V' equals 387 billions
- 169: Even if the dividend payment be counted as trade
- 170: Professor Fisher states this to be about 5%
- 171: This 15% was paid for in full by check
- 172: As compared with the loaning done privately
- 173: But when it gets over 3% and gets strong
- 174: The handling of funds by a brokerage house is a fine art
- 175: The mass of connected loan transactions
- 176: Neither Fisher nor Kemmerer alter their weights in P at all
- 177: The indicia of prices do likewise
- 178: Chapter on The Passiveness of Prices
- 179: This increment in value to bullion
- 180: To adapt itself to dynamic change
- 181: Is almost indefinitely flexible
- 182: Which would give static and dynamic theories common ground
- 183: Individual and social advantage would converge
- 184: A copper cent has high saleability
- 185: Goods have high or low saleability
- 186: Starting with the distinction between value and saleability
- 187: Now becomes absolutely saleable
- 188: Makes powerfully for prodigality
- 189: The demonetization of silver has
- 190: Gold loving despots lost their power
- 191: It must have value from some non monetary source
- 192: Thinking is immensely simplified
- 193: The yardsticks actually used may vary more or less
- 194: And even as a medium of exchange
- 195: Come under the bearer of option function
- 196: He reserves a part of the bearer of options function
- 197: Financing the corporation itself
- 198: Whatever gives legal quittance from contract obligation
- 199: As to the relation of the rental value
- 200: As the Ricardian doctrine seems to hold
- 201: Starting with the least saleable
- 202: And lessening the source of the agio
- 203: Because an agio has already appeared
- 204: And the possibility of agio is
- 205: Presenting a marginal equilibrium
- 206: Assuming that the equilibrium is reached
- 207: 2 on the supply of loanable funds in the money market
- 208: All borrowers tend to borrow less
- 209: He couldn't vote as a bondholder
- 210: The value and marketability of the collateral
- 211: No reason for the prevailing pessimism
- 212: As distinguished from mere ideation
- 213: Characteristic of economic values
- 214: Are not commonly called credit transactions
- 215: We may distinguish credit transactions from credit
- 216: And which often become as saleable as money itself
- 217: To universalize the quality of saleability
- 218: Preferential rights as against the young man himself
- 219: And if these intangibles have value
- 220: By means of which an entrepreneur
- 221: Anomolous from the angle of static values
- 222: And the few highly important dynamic entrepreneurs
- 223: Requiring minimum cash reserves
- 224: Saleability of rights growing steadily greater
- 225: The farmer's mortgage note may bear 7%
- 226: Of bank credit exchanged for the less fluid rights
- 227: The percentage of real estate loans
- 228: It was spent for non moveable equipment
- 229: Loans on other collateral security
- 230: We have merely the gross figures for collateral loans
- 231: As against an assumed 13 1 2% in commercial paper
- 232: 2% of bank credit based on commercial paper is high enough
- 233: Of different classes of loans
- 234: And whose loans are most liquid
- 235: Supply the liquidity for bank assets
- 236: Rediscount it with the Federal Reserve Bank
- 237: Not with bank credit derived from loans
- 238: Buying a 6 or 7% preferred stock
- 239: That it is primarily the bankers
- 240: Speculators and investors turn to new things
- 241: And rates on highly saleable loans would rise
- 242: Of increasing loans and deposits
- 243: If bankers are making unsound loans
- 244: Of contemporary quantity theorists
- 245: 567 Kemmerer quotes the following passage from A
- 246: Easily demoralized by an adverse rate decision
- 247: As we approach static conditions
- 248: Like that between statics and dynamics
- 249: Causation as a temporal sequence vs
- 250: Overproduction is a vital reality
- 251: Both statics and dynamics are abstract
- 252: The other term in the static dynamic contrast
- 253: Have been the data of the static theorist
- 254: Which obey the laws of static marginal equilibrium
- 255: And the static theory work more perfectly
- 256: Well known brands are capital items
- 257: In his History of the Greenbacks
- 258: And largely ignored by current static theory
- 259: But these technological and physiographic factors
- 260: As developed on the basis of static notions
- 261: To control and manipulate those values
- 262: There is a technology of industry
- 263: Watching the realistic process of transition
- 264: And other intangible capital items
- 265: Most men are moved by hedonic considerations
- 266: The law of equilibration holds
- 267: Such that marginal equilibria are possible and actual
- 268: That statics means especially quantitative
- 269: The significant fact about the values with which dynamics
- 270: Reserve function a special case of
- 271: Conflicts with quantity theory
- 272: On other collateral security analyzed
- 273: Commodity theory Metallist theory
- 274: Deposits distinguished from deposits
- 275: Statistics of gold consumption
- 276: Part of general system of values
- 277: Conflicts with quantity theory
- 278: Individual interest and social advantage
- 279: To international gold movements
- 280: Applied to non economic values
- 281: Distinguished from real income
- 282: Platform of quantity theorists
- 283: Contrasted with commodity theory
- 284: Small volume of transactions of
- 285: Sea Board Air Line Adjustment 5's
- 286: Correlated with bank clearings
- 287: Conflicts with quantity theory
- 288: Quantity theory analysis of causes governing
- 289: The Sphere of Pecuniary Valuation
- 290: For the chapter on Statics and Dynamics
- 291: Quarterly Journal of Economics
- 292: Though he is not so extreme as Davenport
- 293: 34 The Institutional Character of Pecuniary Valuation
- 294: Conant there refers to a discussion by Joseph F
- 295: 68 Discussed more fully infra
- 296: The conception is not to be found in Jevons
- 297: I may add that this equilibrium scheme is
- 298: Davenport comes closest to Schumpeter's doctrine
- 299: Quarterly Journal of Economics
- 300: Wicksteed does not transcend the circle
- 301: The utility theory of value means all things to all men
- 302: Without altering utility schedules
- 303: The criticism of Nicholson by W
- 304: On Statistical Demonstrations of the Quantity Theory
- 305: 164 Kemmerer Money and Credit Instruments
- 306: But this would hardly establish causal connections
- 307: Principles of Money and Banking
- 308: The extent of the offsetting by barter
- 309: 229 Virtually the same expression is to be found in Barbour
- 310: We find much of it vigorously maintained by Laughlin
- 311: Even an indirect calculation of T
- 312: In the coefficient of correlation
- 313: Compare this list with my discussion in the Annalist
- 314: 284 Kemmerer relied on the investigation of 1896
- 315: Theorie der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung
- 316: The only possible method for 1916
- 317: 306 Their indicia of variation for trade
- 318: When prices of wheat are lowest
- 319: Loans more frequently contracted and paid off
- 320: In his Principles of Economics
- 321: Discussions in Schriften des Vereins fuer Sozialpolitik
- 322: And has been especially emphasized by Laughlin
- 323: By lending out his Greenbacks
- 324: The 4% drop in Greenbacks after Chickamauga
- 325: Are thus still further exaggerated by 31 billions
- 326: For the purposes which both Professor Barnett and Mr
- 327: 124 billions is too small a figure
- 328: And about 40% in the other cities
- 329: 414 Kemmerer does not do this
- 330: Quotes Dean Kinley The Use of Credit Instruments
- 331: But a billion one way or the other is trifling
- 332: Handwoerterbuch der Staatswissenschaften
- 333: And quotes Soetbeer Litteraturnachweis
- 334: Theorie des Geldes und der Umlaufsmittel
- 335: Davenport Economics of Enterprise
- 336: In his Theorie des Geldes ch
- 337: A ratio between English gold and the Rupee was established
- 338: But options are not necessarily valuable
- 339: Except as static first approximations
- 340: 39 of the Report of the Comptroller for 1913
- 341: 531 These figures are taken from Conant
- 342: I have found no figures for Kuhn Loeb Co
- 343: The actual amount of liquidating by foreign investors
- 344: The same criticism applies to Kemmerer
- 345: 573 Theorie der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung
- 346: Unjustified by prospective income
- 347: Primarily a methodological device
